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The Model Thinker

The Model Thinker
作者:Scott E. Page
副标题:What You Need to Know to Make Data Work for You
出版社:Basic Books
出版年:2019-03
ISBN:9780465094622
行业:其它
浏览数:118

内容简介

From the stock market to genomics laboratories, census figures to marketing email blasts, we are awash with data. But as anyone who has ever opened up a spreadsheet packed with seemingly infinite lines of data knows, numbers aren’t enough: we need to know how to make those numbers talk. In The Model Thinker, social scientist Scott E. Page shows us the mathematical, statistical, and computational models–from linear regression to random walks and far beyond–that can turn anyone into a genius. At the core of the book is Page’s “many-model paradigm,” which shows the reader how to apply multiple models to organize the data, leading to wiser choices, more accurate predictions, and more robust designs. The Model Thinker provides a toolkit for business people, students, scientists, pollsters, and bloggers to make them better, clearer thinkers, able to leverage data and information to their advantage.

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作者简介

Scott E. Page is the Leonid Hurwicz Collegiate Professor of Complex Systems, Political Science, and Economics at the University of Michigan and an external faculty member of the Santa Fe Institute.

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目录

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读书文摘

如果没有模型人们就会受到各种认知偏差的影响:我们会对近期发生的事件赋予过高的权重、会根据“合理程度”分配概率、会忽略各种基本比率。如果没有模型,我们处理数据的能力就会受到极大的限制。

我们迷失于知识中的智慧到哪里去了?我们迷失于信息中的知识到哪里去了?在这里我们还可以加上一句:我们迷失于数据中的信息到哪里去了?

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